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Policy & Regulation · October 14, 2026

It's final. The India, Indonesia and Laos route into U.S. solar is closing

The ITC voted 5-0 on October 14. Duty orders follow in November. Here is what it means commercially.

On October 14, the U.S. International Trade Commission voted 5–0 that solar cell imports from India, Indonesia and Laos injured U.S. manufacturers. Commerce will now issue antidumping and countervailing duty orders, expected in early November, and Customs will begin collecting cash deposits at the border.

It's final. The India, Indonesia and Laos route into U.S. solar is closing — Altakon chart
Altakon analysis. Sources listed below.

Cell origin decides. The orders cover cells from these three countries whether or not they are assembled into modules elsewhere. Moving final assembly doesn't change the answer.

The importer carries the risk. U.S. duties are settled after the fact. Today's deposit is not the final bill; annual reviews can move it up or down for years.

Supply will reshuffle. With combined rates up to 249% for Indian respondents and triple digits for Indonesia and Laos, buyers will move to other origins and U.S. cells, at higher prices. The next origins are already being examined: Commerce opened a separate case on Ethiopian cells in July.

Two things to do now: review any 2026–27 supply contract tied to these origins for tariff and change-in-law clauses, and remember that a new origin solves the duty question, not the foreign-entity question. Tax-credit eligibility still depends on where the wafers and inputs come from.

Altakon helps manufacturers and buyers rebuild their U.S. supply route on both counts, starting with a five-day diagnostic of origin and foreign-entity exposure.

Sources

  • USITC News Release 26-147, October 14, 2026 (usitc.gov).
  • U.S. Department of Commerce final determinations, September 11, 2026.
  • Solar Power World, October 14, 2026 (order timing).
  • pv-tech, July 2026 (Ethiopia case).

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